1- ARCH- Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity-
The AR comes from the fact that these models
are autoregressive models in squared returns, The conditional comes from the
fact that in these models, next period’s volatility is conditional on
information this period. In an ARCH(1) model, next period's variance only
depends on last period's squared residual so a crisis that caused a large
residual would not have the sort of persistence that we observe after actual
crises.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0Bx3mfFH5R-y3TE9LX2NWbUczNDA/view?usp=sharing
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